What will be the highest price reached by the Nasdaq-100 in 2026? [ resolves 2026-12 – 2027-01 ]
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 31799.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
kalshi: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 30 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 25599.99 | 2026-12-31 | 75.0% | — | $23K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 25799.99 | 2026-12-31 | 65.0% | — | $7.2K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 25999.99 | 2026-12-31 | 63.0% | — | $7.9K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 26199.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.5% | — | $40K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 26399.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.2% | — | $4.6K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 26599.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.1% | — | $5.9K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 26799.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.0% | — | $1.8K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 26999.99 | 2027-01-08 | 96.9% | — | $1.2K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 27199.99 | 2027-01-08 | 95.3% | — | $1.1K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 27399.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.5% | — | $4.9K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 27599.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.6% | — | $4.2K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 27799.99 | 2027-01-08 | 95.0% | — | $7.1K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 27999.99 | 2027-01-08 | 88.0% | — | $5.6K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 28199.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.9% | — | $13K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 28399.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.9% | — | $27K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 28599.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.9% | — | $12K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 28799.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.9% | — | $8.3K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 28999.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.9% | — | $28K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 29499.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.9% | — | $20K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 29999.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.8% | — | $149K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 30199.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.0% | — | $26 | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 30399.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.0% | — | $1.1K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 30599.99 | 2027-01-08 | 99.0% | — | $17K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 30799.99 | 2027-01-08 | 72.0% | — | $9.1K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 30999.99 | 2027-01-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 31199.99 | 2027-01-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 31399.99 | 2027-01-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 31599.99 | 2027-01-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 31799.99 | 2027-01-08 | 54.0% | — | $0 | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 | ||
| > 31999.99 | 2027-01-08 | 90.0% | — | $2.3K | B | KXNASDAQ100M….99 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | For example, Google Finance | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 26199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "For example, Google Finance" ↗ sources (1)
- For example, Google Finance venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26199.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26399.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 99% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26599.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 99% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 99% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 26999.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 97% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27199.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 95% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27399.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27599.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 95% |
| PENDING | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27999.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 88% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28199.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28399.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28599.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28999.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29499.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29999.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 100% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30199.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 99% |
| YES | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30399.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2027-01-08 | 99% |
| closed | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25599.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2026-12-31 | — |
| closed | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25799.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2026-12-31 | — |
| closed | Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25999.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? | kalshi | 2026-12-31 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (22 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Nasdaq-100 above 30K before Dec 31 priced near-certain 99% · $63K 24h
- Kalshi consensus at 99%, market treats NDX breaching 30K by year-end as near-certain.
- $63K in 24h is 62% of all-time volume; contract likely newly issued and filling initial liquidity.
- NDX currently near or above threshold; contract may reflect recent index level confirmation.
- Resolves December 31, 2026; tail risk priced at 1%.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxnasdaq100maxy-26dec31h1600/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxnasdaq100maxy-26dec31h1600 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxnasdaq100maxy-26dec31h1600") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-HYFSJ2CNW7",
"slug": "kxnasdaq100maxy-26dec31h1600",
"question": "What will be the highest price reached by the Nasdaq-100 in 2026?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"nasdaq-100",
"equity-index",
"price-level",
"2026",
"financial-markets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 30,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 400694,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
],
"resolution_source": "For example, Google Finance",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "For example, Google Finance",
"url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NDX:INDEXNASDAQ?hl=en",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}