Will the US unemployment rate in June 2026 be below 4%? [ resolves 2026-07-02 (29D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ -25,000 | 2026-07-02 | 86.0% | — | $1.7K | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 0 | 2026-07-02 | 97.0% | — | $2.2K | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…-T0 | ||
| ≥ 10,000 | 2026-07-02 | 80.0% | — | $200 | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 20,000 | 2026-07-02 | 95.0% | — | $1.0K | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 30,000 | 2026-07-02 | 58.0% | — | $56 | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 40,000 | 2026-07-02 | 63.0% | — | $341 | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 50,000 | 2026-07-02 | 57.0% | — | $379 | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 60,000 | 2026-07-02 | 53.0% | — | $305 | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 70,000 | 2026-07-02 | 56.0% | — | $2 | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 80,000 | 2026-07-02 | 43.0% | $9 | $98 | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 90,000 | 2026-07-02 | 24.0% | — | $36 | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 100,000 | 2026-07-02 | 32.0% | — | $269 | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 | ||
| ≥ 125,000 | 2026-07-02 | 24.0% | — | $54 | B | KXPAYROLLS-2…000 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | Bureau Of Labor Statistics | link | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
kalshi.settlement_sources → "Bureau Of Labor Statistics" ↗ No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxpayrolls-26jun/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxpayrolls-26jun.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxpayrolls-26jun") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-NHWMG744L8",
"slug": "kxpayrolls-26jun",
"question": "Will the US unemployment rate in June 2026 be below 4%?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"us-jobs",
"monthly-employment",
"economic-data",
"labor-market",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 13,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6607,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bureau Of Labor Statistics",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm",
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}