Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026? [ resolves 2026-07-14 (41D) ]

Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026?

kalshi: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›

markets · by resolution date

kalshi 1 market

market	resolves	P(YES)		vol (24h)	vol (cum)		RCG	venue id
Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine…	2026-07-14	18.0%		$4.0K	$5.9K		B	`KXPLATNERDRO…-26`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
kalshi	`Exchange Staff`	Fox News	not provided	`Kalshi Staff`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

kalshi 1 market · share this text

If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. "Dropped out" means the candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign, files official withdrawal paperwork, publicly states they are no longer seeking the office, or endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running. Suspending a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain in the race. Death or incapacitation resolves to No, not Yes. Losing a primary or election, failing to qualify for debates or ballots, or being eliminated through the normal election process does not constitute dropping out. Once someone drops out, the market resolves Yes even if they later re-enter the race.

platform source field kalshi.settlement_sources → "Fox News"

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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxplatnerdropout-26/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxplatnerdropout-26.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("kxplatnerdropout-26")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5YRQP7DDC2",
  "slug": "kxplatnerdropout-26",
  "question": "Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "senate-2026",
    "maine-election",
    "candidate-dropout",
    "electoral-dynamics"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "market_count": 1,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 5886,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 72,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "Fox News",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
  "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
  "proposer_model": "platform_staff",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →