Solana price, January 1, 2027 [ resolves 2027-01-08 (186D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
kalshi 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-08 | 31.0% | — | $15K | A | KXSOLD26-27J….99 | ||
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-08 | 14.0% | $0 | $6.6K | A | KXSOLD26-27J….99 | ||
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-08 | 10.0% | — | $3.6K | A | KXSOLD26-27J….99 | ||
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-08 | 11.0% | — | $529 | A | KXSOLD26-27J….99 | ||
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-08 | 10.0% | — | $117 | A | KXSOLD26-27J….99 | ||
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-08 | 3.0% | — | $201 | A | KXSOLD26-27J….99 | ||
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-08 | 8.0% | — | $339 | A | KXSOLD26-27J….99 | ||
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027 | 2027-01-08 | 6.0% | — | $402 | A | KXSOLD26-27J….99 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | CF Benchmarks | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI is above $99.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "CF Benchmarks" sources (3) · single authority
- CF Benchmarks source of record venue-listed
- CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI from rules text · editorial
- CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
- Solana end-2026 price consensus anchors in the $100-150 range Kalshi ladder
- Kalshi ladder prices 50% above $100 but only 26% above $150, placing the market-implied SOL year-end price in the $100-$150 range.
- Solana's roughly 16% weekly gain is consistent with the distribution leaning toward the lower half of the $100-$150 band rather than higher strikes.
- A separate Kalshi contract puts just 2% on Solana ending 2026 above $500, confirming the ladder's sharp drop-off above $150 as the consensus view.
- Resolves via CF Benchmarks price feed on January 1, 2027; the settlement uses the CF Benchmarks reference rate, not spot exchange prices.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxsold26-27jan0100/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/kxsold26-27jan0100 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("kxsold26-27jan0100") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-24BW6LVF51",
"slug": "kxsold26-27jan0100",
"question": "Solana price, January 1, 2027",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"solana-price",
"crypto-markets",
"price-prediction",
"eoy-2026",
"blockchain-assets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 26687,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks",
"url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}