Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania? [ resolves 2026-05 – 2026-12 ]
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 49 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anca Dragu | 2026-05-31 | 0.1% | — | $68K | C | 0x9e64a0…1063 | ||
| Alexandru Nazare | 2026-12-31 | 41.9% | $1.0K | $204K | C | 0xabc341…7a84 | ||
| Sorin Grindeanu | 2026-12-31 | 18.1% | $323 | $426K | C | 0x120887…be70 | ||
| Siegfried Mureșan | 2026-12-31 | 3.8% | — | $11K | C | 0xdc9e6c…b8ee | ||
| Ilie Bolojan | 2026-12-31 | 3.5% | — | $167K | C | 0x18d813…bef0 | ||
| Radu Burnete | 2026-12-31 | 2.9% | — | $97K | C | 0x9b1e15…3a52 | ||
| Eugen Tomac | 2026-12-31 | 2.2% | $505 | $260K | C | 0xdd9f58…a645 | ||
| Ionuț Dumitru | 2026-12-31 | 1.6% | $260 | $71K | C | 0xca57ce…7035 | ||
| Delia Velculescu | 2026-12-31 | 1.3% | — | $106K | C | 0xf82b57…8aa8 | ||
| Lucian Croitoru | 2026-12-31 | 1.1% | $15 | $48K | C | 0x716b3d…07f7 | ||
| Șerban Matei | 2026-12-31 | 1.0% | $12 | $76K | C | 0x62c5bc…96f3 | ||
| Dragoș Pîslaru | 2026-12-31 | 1.0% | — | $73K | C | 0x615b25…6260 | ||
| Cătălin Predoiu | 2026-12-31 | 0.9% | — | $150K | C | 0x6d2afa…b7b5 | ||
| George Simion | 2026-12-31 | 0.8% | — | $60K | C | 0x03c488…1b1b | ||
| Calin Georgescu | 2026-12-31 | 0.8% | — | $61K | C | 0x94df41…afd4 | ||
| Dan Motreanu | 2026-12-31 | 0.6% | — | $77K | C | 0xe30d1d…fae1 | ||
| Victor Ponta | 2026-12-31 | 0.5% | — | $58K | C | 0x9f4b6f…545e | ||
| Adrian Veștea | 2026-12-31 | 0.4% | — | $205K | C | 0xf594ba…ff14 | ||
| Hunor Kelemen | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $84K | C | 0x20a479…f684 | ||
| Alexandru Rogobete | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $52K | C | 0xa64832…db3e | ||
| Ciprian Ciucu | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $46K | C | 0x219c83…5c20 | ||
| Lucian Isar | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $59K | C | 0xf1dd7a…4684 | ||
| Alexandru Rafila | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | $249 | $54K | C | 0x8b405f…b38d | ||
| Raluca Turcan | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $46K | C | 0x516d3b…706c | ||
| Traian Basescu | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $55K | C | 0x1a1f19…33ca | ||
| Mugur Isărescu | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $49K | C | 0x3c5135…4779 | ||
| Mircea Geoană | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $54K | C | 0xcf18ec…5a0a | ||
| Marcel Ciolacu | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $62K | C | 0x9eec20…5887 | ||
| Sebastian Burduja | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $8 | $68K | C | 0xfce849…897f | ||
| Elena Lasconi | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | $5 | $79K | C | 0x3ecb81…5077 | ||
| Cătălin Drulă | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $54K | C | 0xa9f3bb…3f0e | ||
| Vasile Dîncu | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $56K | C | 0xd4dd41…f822 | ||
| Dacian Cioloș | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $65K | C | 0xd2d99f…b563 | ||
| Emil Boc | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $57K | C | 0xfcafd1…1b5b | ||
| Dominic Fritz | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $54K | C | 0xfd21a8…afdf | ||
| Nicolae Ciucă | 2026-12-31 | 0.1% | — | $60K | C | 0x2c555f…f6f0 | ||
| Person O | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9b8a47…338f | ||
| Person P | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1c1746…312c | ||
| Person Q | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xac2224…6706 | ||
| Person R | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2b62f0…6fe5 | ||
| Person S | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf34335…2053 | ||
| Person T | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2275ac…ecfb | ||
| Person U | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x936dcb…419c | ||
| Person V | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf43992…6ac8 | ||
| Person W | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x17e2a9…3630 | ||
| Person X | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5cdf99…38de | ||
| Person Y | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb131f4…7e99 | ||
| Person Z | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8df524…dc1b | ||
| Someone else | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe53296…0b0f |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
Government of Romania from rules text a consensus of credible reporting from rules text
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/next-prime-minister-of-romania-732/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/next-prime-minister-of-romania-732 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("next-prime-minister-of-romania-732") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-JS0LYJRQ64",
"slug": "next-prime-minister-of-romania-732",
"question": "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"romania",
"executive-succession",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 49,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 3272166,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Government of Romania",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}