Will Trump restart Project Freedom by 2026? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military from rules text · editorial
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| closed | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | polymarket | 2026-06-01 | — |
| closed | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15? | polymarket | 2026-05-16 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (3 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Traders lock in Project Freedom restart by June 30 100% · $3.1M 24h
- Polymarket at 100%, market treats June 30 restart as fully resolved certainty.
- 24h volume $3.1M is 59% of all-time; near-total capital conviction compressed into final days.
- Late flow likely arbitrage and settlement positioning as contract approaches expiry June 30.
- Resolution imminent; desk attention is on settlement mechanics, not directional risk.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-8BYGC61G14",
"slug": "will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by",
"question": "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by 2026?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"geopolitics",
"trump",
"us-policy",
"2026",
"government-action"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 6616307,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 59,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}