Will Trump restart Project Freedom by 2025? [ resolves 2026-05 – 2026-06 ]
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
polymarket 3 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31 | 2026-05-31 | 1.0% | — | $1.16M | C | 0x9a87a0…a8f6 | ||
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15 | 2026-05-31 | 0.2% | — | $129K | C | 0x854be4…3080 | ||
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 23.0% | $7.2K | $129K | C | 0xdfd4d4…36a9 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-8BYGC61G14",
"slug": "will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by",
"question": "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by 2025?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"geopolitics",
"trump",
"us-policy",
"2026",
"government-action"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1417285,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}