CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Democratic Party winner of the New Hampshire Senate primary be determined by the 2026 primary election? [ resolves 2026-09-08 (64D) ]

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 18 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Chris Pappas 2026-09-08 91.0%
$8.6K
C 0xf78be5…6534
Karishma Manzur 2026-09-08 4.8%
$5.4K
C 0x1cf96f…216e
Candidate B 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0x2655a4…3b8f
Candidate C 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0x28849b…a3c9
Candidate I 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0xaa719f…c107
Candidate F 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0x35818c…470c
Candidate H 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0x9e611e…8a38
Candidate L 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0xf42411…69ad
Another candidate 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0x91be63…4e3b
Candidate A 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0x836cae…12c9
Candidate D 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0xd61760…c26b
Candidate J 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0xdb7447…69a4
Candidate E 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0xe5a1d3…7463
Candidate G 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0xf8a7c9…25cb
Candidate K 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0x47a071…2ada
Candidate M 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0xea8dfc…1a85
Candidate N 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0x3a6650…8df1
Candidate O 2026-09-08 0.0%
C 0x2f01d9…5909
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 18 markets · share this text
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
sources (2)
  • the New Hampshire Democratic party from rules text · editorial
  • an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
closed Will Candidate B be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate C be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate I be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate F be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate H be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate L be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will another candidate be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate A be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate D be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate J be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate E be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate G be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate K be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate M be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate N be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
closed Will Candidate O be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? polymarket 2026-09-08
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (16 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HY8R70V952",
  "slug": "new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Democratic Party winner of the New Hampshire Senate primary be determined by the 2026 primary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "primary",
    "new-hampshire",
    "senate"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 18,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 13906,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 55,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "the New Hampshire Democratic party",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →